World Cup Forecast

2026 FIFA World Cup

48 teams · 12 groups · co-hosted by USA, Mexico & Canada · Jun 11 – Jul 19
Updated July 10, 2026, 7:15 PM ET

Group Stage

Probability each team advances to the Round of 32 — the top two from every group plus the eight best third-placed teams. Flip any card to see the full 1st–4th finishing breakdown.

QualifiedProjected to advanceOn the bubbleEliminated
A
Group A
Mexico favoured · 100.0% to advance
Mexico
MexicoMEX · HOST
100.0%
South Africa
South AfricaRSA
100.0%
Korea Republic
Korea RepublicKOR
0.00%
Czechia
CzechiaCZE
0.00%
B
Group B
Canada favoured · 100.0% to advance
Canada
CanadaCAN · HOST
100.0%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBIH
100.0%
Switzerland
SwitzerlandSUI
100.0%
Qatar
QatarQAT
0.00%
C
Group C
Brazil favoured · 100.0% to advance
Brazil
BrazilBRA
100.0%
Morocco
MoroccoMAR
100.0%
Haiti
HaitiHAI
0.00%
Scotland
ScotlandSCO
0.00%
D
Group D
United States favoured · 100.0% to advance
United States
United StatesUSA · HOST
100.0%
Paraguay
ParaguayPAR
100.0%
Australia
AustraliaAUS
100.0%
Türkiye
TürkiyeTUR
0.00%
E
Group E
Germany favoured · 100.0% to advance
Germany
GermanyGER
100.0%
Ivory Coast
Ivory CoastCIV
100.0%
Ecuador
EcuadorECU
100.0%
Curaçao
CuraçaoCUW
0.00%
F
Group F
Netherlands favoured · 100.0% to advance
Netherlands
NetherlandsNED
100.0%
Japan
JapanJPN
100.0%
Sweden
SwedenSWE
100.0%
Tunisia
TunisiaTUN
0.00%
G
Group G
Belgium favoured · 100.0% to advance
Belgium
BelgiumBEL
100.0%
Egypt
EgyptEGY
100.0%
Iran
IranIRN
0.00%
New Zealand
New ZealandNZL
0.00%
H
Group H
Spain favoured · 100.0% to advance
Spain
SpainESP
100.0%
Cape Verde
Cape VerdeCPV
100.0%
Saudi Arabia
Saudi ArabiaKSA
0.00%
Uruguay
UruguayURU
0.00%
I
Group I
France favoured · 100.0% to advance
France
FranceFRA
100.0%
Senegal
SenegalSEN
100.0%
Norway
NorwayNOR
100.0%
Iraq
IraqIRQ
0.00%
J
Group J
Argentina favoured · 100.0% to advance
Argentina
ArgentinaARG
100.0%
Algeria
AlgeriaALG
100.0%
Austria
AustriaAUT
100.0%
Jordan
JordanJOR
0.00%
K
Group K
Portugal favoured · 100.0% to advance
Portugal
PortugalPOR
100.0%
DR Congo
DR CongoCOD
100.0%
Colombia
ColombiaCOL
100.0%
Uzbekistan
UzbekistanUZB
0.00%
L
Group L
England favoured · 100.0% to advance
England
EnglandENG
100.0%
Croatia
CroatiaCRO
100.0%
Ghana
GhanaGHA
100.0%
Panama
PanamaPAN
0.00%