World Cup Forecast

2026 FIFA World Cup

48 teams · 12 groups · co-hosted by USA, Mexico & Canada · Jun 11 – Jul 19

Updated June 4, 2026, 11:43 PM ET

Group Stage

Probability each team advances to the Round of 32 — the top two from every group plus the eight best third-placed teams. Flip any card to see the full 1st–4th finishing breakdown.

QualifiedProjected to advanceOn the bubbleEliminated

A

Group A

Mexico favoured · 95.8% to advance

MexicoMEX · HOST

95.8%

Korea RepublicKOR

83.9%

CzechiaCZE

69.2%

South AfricaRSA

22.7%

B

Group B

Switzerland favoured · 97.7% to advance

SwitzerlandSUI

97.7%

CanadaCAN · HOST

79.2%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Bosnia & HerzegovinaBIH

54.2%

QatarQAT

18.3%

C

Group C

Brazil favoured · 98.6% to advance

BrazilBRA

98.6%

MoroccoMAR

95.7%

ScotlandSCO

73.2%

HaitiHAI

8.8%

D

Group D

Türkiye favoured · 92.6% to advance

TürkiyeTUR

92.6%

United StatesUSA · HOST

84.8%

ParaguayPAR

66.8%

AustraliaAUS

35.7%

E

Group E

Germany favoured · 97.1% to advance

GermanyGER

97.1%

EcuadorECU

92.9%

Ivory CoastCIV

79.1%

CuraçaoCUW

12.8%

F

Group F

Netherlands favoured · 96.5% to advance

NetherlandsNED

96.5%

JapanJPN

87.0%

SwedenSWE

75.6%

TunisiaTUN

23.5%

G

Group G

Belgium favoured · 98.3% to advance

BelgiumBEL

98.3%

EgyptEGY

83.8%

IranIRN

67.1%

New ZealandNZL

12.7%

H

Group H

Spain favoured · 99.8% to advance

SpainESP

99.8%

UruguayURU

97.8%

Cape VerdeCPV

14.8%

Saudi ArabiaKSA

12.3%

I

Group I

France favoured · 99.1% to advance

FranceFRA

99.1%

SenegalSEN

91.4%

NorwayNOR

91.4%

IraqIRQ

4.1%

J

Group J

Argentina favoured · 99.4% to advance

ArgentinaARG

99.4%

AustriaAUT

88.2%

AlgeriaALG

85.4%

JordanJOR

6.3%

K

Group K

Portugal favoured · 98.4% to advance

PortugalPOR

98.4%

ColombiaCOL

95.8%

DR CongoCOD

55.7%

UzbekistanUZB

14.4%

L

Group L

England favoured · 99.5% to advance

EnglandENG

99.5%

CroatiaCRO

95.9%

GhanaGHA

33.9%

PanamaPAN

13.0%